Following the meeting with the United States president, Trump, France president Emmanuel Macron made two predictions: America would withdraw from the Iran nuclear deal, and that decision would lead to war. His predictions might turn out to be correct.
A few hours after Trump backed out of the deal with Iran on Tuesday, tensions escalated between Israel and Iran. On the night Israel put its troops on “high alert,” and warned the residents of the Golan Heights, which borders Syria, to prepare public bomb shelters.
Things got worse on Thursday. That night, Israeli jets struck back at Iranian forces, bombing “nearly all” of Iran's military infrastructure in Syria. Israel said it acted in response to the attack on Israeli army on the Golan Heights.
The tension between Iran and Israel is nothing new, but the speedy acceleration of violence between the two countries is cause for concern. And it all because of Trump's decision.
Iran and Israel have been conducting a shadow “While Israel and Iran have been conducting a shadow war in Syria for months but it seems the conflict has now burst into the open.
Israel and Iran’s proxy war in Syria has been ongoing for years. Since 2012, the Israelis have reportedly launched over 100 strikes on Iran-linked positions in Syria. This is necessary to keep Iran away from their borders and stop the supply of weapons to Hezbollah, Iran's Lebanese ally.
Iran threatened to strike back last month after an Israel killed seven Iranian soldiers, but it had never directly hit back against Israel.
Reports revealed that Iranians have not responded, partly because they don't want to give the United States any reason to leave the "nuclear deal". But now that the Americans have withdrawn, the gloves off for the Iranians, making mutual military escalation between them and the Israelis more likely.”
An exchange of blows Israel and Iran isn’t the biggest threat. Last weekend, Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif warned that his country might resume suspended elements of its nuclear program following new American sanctions.
If Iran can’t wrangle enough economic concessions from Europe to keep the nuclear agreement intact, it might see a nuclear program as its only option. If that happens, “you get a nuclear race in the Middle East,”
The Obama administration opposed interventions and focused on keeping the United States from jumping into another Middle Eastern war.
Obama refused to support the Israelis in striking Iran’s nuclear program. However, under President Trump, coupled with interest between Israelis and the Saudis, the possibility of war between Iran and Israel could rise.
If that be the case, America may be unable to stay out of the fight. “President Trump’s actions in quitting the Iran accord would place a large share of the responsibility on the United States, increasing the likelihood that the U.S. would, in fact, support and reinforce Israel,” Clark wrote.
President Trump has always said that he has no wish for further wars in the middle east but his decision could make one more likely.